Friday, 20 April 2018

The Cold War never ended


Interview with the expert of the Moscow Economic Forum Srdjom Trifkovic, editor of the foreign policy department of the magazine Chronicles (USA). The 6th IEF was held on April 3-4, 2018 in the Russian Academy of Sciences.

It looks like we are already at the start of a new cold war. What does it have in common with the Cold War of the 20th century, and what are the differences?

The very formulation of the question is wrong - the Cold War never ended. This was reflected in the expansion of NATO to the east for 15 years after the collapse of the USSR and the development of the crisis in Ukraine in 2004 -2014. The challenges that Russia faces are not connected with its current policy today. They are a reflection of the deep hatred that Western political and media elites have against Russia as such. This hostility exists, and expresses itself clearly since the Crimean War.

What new world order can appear as a result of the current confrontation?

There are three scenarios. The first that President Trump can defeat the "deep state" in the US, will fulfill his election promises, including that he will discharge his relations with Russia. But this is very optimistic and unlikely. The second scenario - the US continues foolhardy confrontation, with unintended consequences, escalation and a tragic military outcome. This is more likely than the first option, but so far this scenario has not yet been implemented. And the third, the most probable. Long-term unstable balance with tendencies towards multipolarity, which will be resisted by the weakening unipolar hegemonism. This scenario requires Russia to adhere relentlessly and resolutely to the preemptive challenges of the West. The Russian leadership must understand that those whom they call "Western partners", seriously want to destroy Russia. And Russia must with its firmness force them to recognize their equal status as a great power, with legitimate security interests and regional interests. But such recognition will never be obtained through concessions, expressions of goodwill and call to reason.

How do you see the alignment of forces in the world between the US, China, Europe and Russia?

"Europe" is no longer an autonomous independent player. The countries of continental Europe follow the Anglo-American leadership in Russophobic hysteria. And this represents a further triumph of Atlantic domination in Europe. It should be especially noted that both Germany and France, the alleged leaders of an independent European foreign policy, are now reduced in their status to automatic followers of the "Anglo-sphere". We simultaneously observe in the West a hysterical phase of the discourse of Russophobia, which defies any rational arguments; and also we saw the successful degradation of European diplomacy to the status of obliging satellites.

Is the demonization of Russia and Russophobia only an instrument of geopolitical play in the West, or are these inalienable essential characteristics of Russia's perception?

The two pillars on which the West stands, and primarily Anglo-American Russophobia, are mutually complementary. First, in geopolitical terms, we observe the usual aspiration of maritime empires (Britain before World War I, the USA after World War II) to "contain", encircle, and if possible, squeeze out the Eurasian Heartland, whose heart is of course Russia. And secondly, we also have an instinctive, deep cultural antipathy: the perception of Russia as the eternal "other" by Western elites, and the consequence is the desire not only to influence Russian politics and behavior, but to make an irreversible change of regime in Moscow - and fundamentally transform Russian identity into Western postmodernism. And let me add that some of the worst, most insanely hateful anti-Russian stereotypes come from Russia itself, from those representatives of the liberal "intelligentsia" and emigrants who passionately hate the country where they were born and the people of Russia.